Monday, December 06, 2004

Excessive Spending: Miscellaneous Thoughts

I have previously posted concerns about the budget deficit and negative trade balance. Here are some things to consider. You draw your own conclusions, if you can.
  • U.S. dollar continues to fall versus foreign currencies as a result of less confidence in the U.S. dollar... which will:
    • make imported goods more expensive... including oil
    • make U.S. travel more attractive to foreigners
    • increase foreign ownership of U.S. real estate and corporations [I said previously that the trade deficit was a concern, ultimately, about who controls the U.S. assets]
    • increase the risk of inflation
    • increase U.S. corporate earnings (in U.S. dollars) from overseas operations
  • China accounted for more than 1/2 of the total non-oil trade deficit which is a result of both importing lower-cost Chinese products and outsourcing production and support of U.S. made products
  • Jobs are leaving the U.S. for the lowest cost source and there are serious disagreements about the impact of this trend for the U.S.
  • U.S. miltary expenditures are more than these combined:

    Russia* 65.0
    China* 47.0
    Japan 42.6
    United Kingdom 38.4
    France 29.5
    Germany 24.9
    Saudi Arabia 21.3
    Italy 19.4
    India 15.6
    South Korea 14.1
    Brazil* 10.7
    Taiwan* 10.7
    Israel 10.6
    Spain 8.4
    Australia 7.6
    Canada 7.6
    Netherlands 6.6
    Turkey 5.8
    Mexico 5.9
    Kuwait* 3.9
    Ukraine 5.0
    * 2001 Funding