2020 Preparations - Step 3: Population Impact - 2

Yesterday I reviewed population facts. Today let's look at the implications:

• China and India will have a combined population approaching 3 billion by 2020 making that part of the world the highest density marketplace.
• There will be extremes of income - destitute to immensely wealthy
• There will be a rapidly growing consumer base
• There will be great demand for the world's resources
• There will be intense global competition for a piece of both countries' expanding markets
  
• There are significant risks of an AIDS pandemic among the poor
• Europe may have significant social problems with the great Muslim influx as well as significant strains on many countries' social programs
• Europe will benefit from relatively cheap Muslim labor
• Europe will be distracted by social unrest
• The U.S. will continue to have an increasing Hispanic population
• There will be growing pressure to "Quebecize"... create a side-by-side society rather than an integrated one
  
• There will be pressures on social support programs as a lower percentage of the population seeks college educations... or even graduates from high school
  
• The economy will remain strong due to population growth, but manufacturing will be a smaller percentage of the total economy and more focus on the service sector
  
• There is a great likelihood that the U.S. will begin to look more to Latin and South American markets for reciprocal trade (my conclusion) as the Hispanic population increases

It is not unreasonable to accept the possibility of an "Americas" focus emerging as the situation becomes more chaotic in Europe and Asia.

I believe the political and population dynamics will lead to the following:

• The U.S. will become increasingly disenchanted with involvement in Muslim-initiated issues which will dominate the European and Russian areas and will force Europe and Russia to have greater roles in addressing Islamic activism
  
• The U.S. citizens, businesses, and politicians will become increasingly disenchanted with lopsided trade balances and unethical practices by China and curtail efforts to be a major part of China's markets
  
• The U.S. will increasingly see India as the key player in its Asian trade efforts and promote Indian development to offset both the Muslim and Chinese influences.
• The U.S. will see Latin and South America as "natural" trading partners and increase efforts to build greater ties politically and economically.

FYI...

APPROXIMATE MILES FROM CHICAGO

Mexico City	1700	Rio de Janeiro	5300
Caracas	2500	Buenos Aires	5600
Paris	4100	Beijing	6600
Munich	4500	Hong Kong	7800
Moscow	5000	Bombay	8100