Friday, February 04, 2005

2020 - What could go wrong?

Everything.

The CIA paper to which I have been referring does recognize that political and economic forecasting is much less reliable than weather forecasting. Things can go wrong:
  • War between China and Taiwan - probably very short and disastrous politically for China
  • War between India and Pakistan - likelihood of nuclear weapons being used and other nations being involved
  • Collapse of sub-Saharan Africa - disease and unstable governments are a dangerous combination
  • Creation of an Islamic pseudo-empire - radical Islamists acting outside of traditional governments and national boundaries gain power through terror... Islamic Mafia.
  • Widespread availability of nuclear weapons - any country might become an nuclear power through covert means... making the world a far more unstable place.
The world is changing and the U.S. will have to adapt... but continue to lead. What are some of the options?

We'll look at that....

Meanwhile, as predicted by global warming models...

Glaciers in Michigan are forecasted to retreat at an accelerated pace. After only two weeks, glaciers are beginning to show signs of melting. Animal life may return to this desolated area.