Thursday, April 14, 2005

Excessive Spending - Devaluation Equals Inflation

It doesn't matter that there is a trade imbalance... except...
Bank of Canada says further US$ fall needed
Just think it through:
  • Tangible goods in; dollars out
  • Too many dollars out; not enough U.S. goods or assets wanted
  • Value of dollar falls globally
  • Cost of global goods go up (e.g., oil)
  • Cost passed on to U.S. consumers (inflation)
  • Federal reserve raises interests rates to "combat" inflation
  • Economy falls
It just doesn't matter... right... except it's all related:
Downside risks to world economy have increased-Rato