Saturday, June 02, 2007

Real or Perceived Excessive Heat

SEARCH BLOG: GLOBAL WARMING

We've had a couple of hot days so the talk is all about global warming again. Here are the details.
Yesterday, the month started a little warmer than usual:


The forecast looks like this:
If we take the high temperature from 6-1 which was 84 and the forecasted high temperatures for the next 5 days, we get an average high temperature of... 76.2 degrees.

Now you might argue that the average for the month might be misleading because the month gets warmer as we get closer to summer.
So let's look at the averages for the first 6 days:

[Source: The Weather Channel]
Note how all of the records have been in the last 10 years... not!
It looks like we are pretty close to average... a couple of degrees lower, maybe. But, once again, the local perception is that the temperatures are much higher than "normal."

Alarmism seems to be effective in changing perception.

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