August 9, 2007 — NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center today released its update to the 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook, maintaining its expectations for an above-normal season.October 23, 2007... just forget what we said....
As we enter the peak months (August through October) of the Atlantic hurricane season, NOAA scientists are predicting an 85 percent chance of an above-normal season, with the likelihood of 13 to 16 named storms, with seven to nine becoming hurricanes, of which three to five could become major hurricanes (Category 3 strength or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale). (Click NOAA image for larger view of NOAA’s 2007 Atlantic hurricane season update. Click here for high resolution version. Please credit “NOAA.”)
Too bad. Georgia and Florida could have used some of those hurricane rains.Hey, the weather is difficult to predict. It wasn't really a false alarm... maybe just an alarm that was a little teensy bit too loud. It could have happened....
But we have a much higher confidence that global warming is occurring based on temperatures we have tracked for a century. Of course, we've had to make a few statistical adjustments [maybe a lot of adjustments] to support that. And maybe our equipment isn't as accurate or placed as well as it should be.
Of course, that's not as bad as those who publish papers and then refuse to share the data they used in order to allow others to verify the conclusions.Well, maybe we didn't exactly share all of our information without a lot of prodding... but we had to protect you from those who might disagree with us.
Trust us. We would never tell you inconvenient truths.
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