Dr. Roger Pielke, Sr. is a bit of a maverick scientist. He likes his suppositions to be validated. So, when he looked at a climate model that contained what he believes to be a basic error and, consequently, could not be confirmed by observations, he suggested a revision to the model.
This is the end of the story:
Go here to read the beginning.The challenge to Gavin Schmidt and Ray Pierrehumbert at Real Climate (since Real Climate has presented a bet), therefore, is to answer these questions:
- what amount of heat in Joules was predicted by the IPCC models to accumulate within the climate system over the last five, ten and twenty years?
- what is the best estimate of what actually accumulated based on the observations of ocean heat content changes for these three time periods?
- what magnitude of heat accumulation in Joules in the next five, ten, and twenty years would cause Real Climate to conclude that the IPCC models are “inconsistent” with the observations?
We would be glad to post their reply to these questions as a guest weblog on Climate Science.
P.S. It's not written in high-schoolese.
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