Dr. Roger Pielke, Sr. [left] has an interesting, though quite long, post at Climate Science that intertwines his comments with an interview of controversial climate modeler Michael Mann [right - of "hockey stick" fame or infamy].
Dr. Pielke has a solid reputation in climate research although he is not popular with followers of Al "The Sky Is Falling" Gore. Dr. Pielke is of the Missouri school of science... show me... as evidence by his challenge regarding climate models:
This is a challenge not likely to be taken up for two reasons:"...the global climate models (whether downscaled to regions or not) have failed to predict changes in the statistics of regional climate. I invite any climate scientist to present evidence on my weblog (as an unedited guest post] that refutes this conclusion."
- Those basing claims of global warming [aka climate change] realize that Dr. Pielke has given them an impossible task because all climate models have be shown to be deficient in "backcasting" and therefore are deficient in forecasting.
- Critics of Dr. Pielke do not want to give him more credibility with regard to the followers of Al Gore by allowing him to prove he is correct. Their preference is to treat his positions as the ramblings of a mad scientist by ignoring his challenge... which, if accepted, would prove them to be incompetent scientists.
Dr. Pielke's closing statement with regard to the Scientific American interview of Michael Mann:
As written in the Scientific American Interview, Freeman Dyson is 100% correct:
“that climate change science relies too much on such computer models. And even worse, that the climate scientists behind them are too much in love with their computational creations. Such mathematical approximations are crude, failing to capture the real world climate impacts of a cloud, for example. That makes them useful for understanding climate but not for predicting climate change”
It is an open question as to how long it is going to take funding agencies and policymakers to recognize this reality.
Jan 10, 2007
Jun 07, 2007
Sep 13, 2007