Over at Intrade, people can express their opinions about almost anything... and put their money where their mouths are. The current money is:
This is directionally similar with current polling numbers at Rasmussen Reports:
Of course, it is still early in the game, but this seems to be the current popular thinking.
But the current president has some daunting problems:
- going into the 3rd summer of recovery, the unemployment rate is still over the 8% that Obama had vowed to avoid with his massive spending programs
- the housing market has not responded to any motivation supposedly in the President's bag of tricks
- the very visible price of gasoline is hovering in the $4.00 range [higher on the coasts]
- the President's expanded war in Afghanistan is floundering with no visible strategy and no visible goal
- the President's image as a Nobel peacemaker has been long forgotten in the reality of the Middle East
The President's saving grace?
"President Obama is the 2012 version of President Carter, seeking re-election in a country facing high unemployment and a lack of citizen confidence in the future of the economy or his leadership on those issues that matter most to them," said Wayne Lesperance Jr., a political science professor at New England College in Henniker, N.H. "The difference between Presidents Obama and Carter is there is no Ronald Reagan running for president" in 2012. [source]
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SATURDAY, JANUARY 28, 2012
TUESDAY, MAY 27, 2008
James Earl Carter, III
I suspect that should Barack Obama become President of the United States, Iran will feel it has an opportunity to take some action[s] that, once again, hold the U.S. hostage.