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Thursday, February 19, 2009

On The Road 3

SEARCH BLOG: FOOD

My wife's family are salt-of-the-earth people... honest, hard-working, and generous. They also tend toward the larger sizes. My wife has always fought the battle of the bulge... and in recent years I have crept up a bit. Still it wasn't until she found out that she might be developing diabetes that she got serious about correcting her health.

My wife is a voracious reader and can be amazingly focused when she is motivated. She is determined to control her blood sugar levels with diet and has gone full-bore into a new way of eating promoted by Drs. Michael and Mary Eades in their book "The Protein Power Lifeplan." It is basically a restricted carbohydrate diet that allows generous amounts of protein and fat. Sounds easy, but try eliminating sugar and grains and sweet fruits. No cereals. Deserts? A few. Going out to eat? Lots of luck.

She started after Thanksgiving. I figured Christmas would be the end of the diet, but she kept finding good-tasting recipies online... and making them. By New Years, she had lost 10 pounds and had gained enthusiasm. Then I noticed I had lost 5 pound and I was not on her diet... officially. Of course, I was eating a lot of the low carbohydrate meals... just not getting rid of all of the "carbs." I decided that it was time to make it easier for her. I would eat only low carb. But there was that "no wheat, corn, rice" part that didn't thrill me. Well, with a little digging, we found that we could make some great tasting muffins and buns with freshly-ground flax seeds or coconut oil or protein powder. A flax bun with cheese baked in worked great for hamburgers. Take out the cheese and add some vanilla protein powder and you have the "cake" for strawberry short cake. Then there were the flax, banana, walnut muffins (only 1/2 banana for a batch). And I loved the flax pumpkin muffins. Suddenly, I didn't miss the wheat bread.

So here we are in Florida visiting her family. I guess the 20+ pounds she has lost and the roughly 20 pounds I've shed made an impression on her family. Now they all want in on "the plan." Boxes of carbohyrate-laden food are being removed from her mother's pantry... and Costco made a lot of money selling protein and fat foods. Yes, fat. Apparently, eating more fat... but keeping calories at 1,800-2,000 per day trains your body to burn fat instead of sugar. And your pancreas stops flooding your body with insulin to burn sugar... and convert the excess carbs into fat stored in your fat cells.

Today I played my first round of golf since October. I had a low-carb, high-protein breakfast and six hours and a round of golf later, I still wasn't hungry. That seems to be a side-effect of this diet... no more "munchies" that carbs cause. And... being 20 pounds lighter and not hungry by the 14th hole made the round more enjoyable.

Still pecking on the iPhone. Hey, Apple, I need a foldable keyboard that works with the iPhone. Are you ever going to listen?

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CO2 Cap and Trade

There is always an easy solution to every human problem—neat, plausible, and wrong.
Henry Louis Mencken (1880–1956)
“The Divine Afflatus,” A Mencken Chrestomathy, chapter 25, p. 443 (1949)
... and one could add "not all human problems really are."
It was beautiful and simple, as truly great swindles are.
- O. Henry
... The Government is on course for an embarrassing showdown with the European Union, business groups and environmental charities after refusing to guarantee that billions of pounds of revenue it stands to earn from carbon-permit trading will be spent on combating climate change.
The Independent (UK)

Tracking Interest Rates

Tracking Interest Rates

FEDERAL RESERVE & HOUSING

SEARCH BLOG: FEDERAL RESERVE for full versions... or use the Blog Archive pulldown menu.

February 3, 2006 Go back to 1999-2000 and see what the Fed did. They are following the same pattern for 2005-06. If it ain't broke, the Fed will fix it... and good!
August 29, 2006 The Federal Reserve always acts on old information... and is the only cause of U.S. recessions.
December 5, 2006 Last spring I wrote about what I saw to be a sharp downturn in the economy in the "rustbelt" states, particularly Michigan.
March 28, 2007
The Federal Reserve sees no need to cut interest rates in the light of adverse recent economic data, Ben Bernanke said on Wednesday.
The Fed chairman said ”to date, the incoming data have supported the view that the current stance of policy is likely to foster sustainable economic growth and a gradual ebbing in core inflation”.

July 21, 2007 My guess is that if there is an interest rate change, a cut is more likely than an increase. The key variables to be watching at this point are real estate prices and the inventory of unsold homes.
August 11, 2007 I suspect that within 6 months the Federal Reserve will be forced to lower interest rates before housing becomes a black hole.
September 11, 2007 It only means that the overall process has flaws guaranteeing it will be slow in responding to changes in the economy... and tend to over-react as a result.
September 18, 2007 I think a 4% rate is really what is needed to turn the economy back on the right course. The rate may not get there, but more cuts will be needed with employment rates down and foreclosure rates up.
October 25, 2007 How long will it be before I will be able to write: "The Federal Reserve lowered its lending rate to 4% in response to the collapse of the U.S. housing market and massive numbers of foreclosures that threaten the banking and mortgage sectors."
November 28, 2007 FED VICE CHAIRMAN DONALD KOHN
"Should the elevated turbulence persist, it would increase the possibility of further tightening in financial conditions for households and businesses," he said.

"Uncertainties about the economic outlook are unusually high right now," he said. "These uncertainties require flexible and pragmatic policymaking -- nimble is the adjective I used a few weeks ago."
http://www.reuters.com/

December 11, 2007 Somehow the Fed misses the obvious.
fed_rate_moves_425_small.gif
[Image from: CNNMoney.com]
December 13, 2007 [from The Christian Science Monitor]
"The odds of a recession are now above 50 percent," says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com. "We are right on the edge of a recession in part because of the Fed's reluctance to reduce interest rates more aggressively." [see my comments of September 11]
January 7, 2008 The real problem now is that consumers can't rescue the economy and manufacturing, which is already weakening, will continue to weaken. We've gutted the forces that could avoid a downturn. The question is not whether there will be a recession, but can it be dampened sufficiently so that it is very short.
January 11, 2008 This is death by a thousand cuts.
January 13, 2008 [N.Y. Times]
“The question is not whether we will have a recession, but how deep and prolonged it will be,” said David Rosenberg, the chief North American economist at Merrill Lynch. “Even if the Fed’s moves are going to work, it will not show up until the later part of 2008 or 2009.”
January 17, 2008 A few days ago, Anna Schwartz, nonagenarian economist, implicated the Federal Reserve as the cause of the present lending crisis [from the Telegraph - UK]:
The high priestess of US monetarism - a revered figure at the Fed - says the central bank is itself the chief cause of the credit bubble, and now seems stunned as the consequences of its own actions engulf the financial system. "The new group at the Fed is not equal to the problem that faces it," she says, daring to utter a thought that fellow critics mostly utter sotto voce.
January 22, 2008 The cut has become infected and a limb is in danger. Ben Bernanke is panicking and the Fed has its emergency triage team cutting rates... this time by 3/4%. ...

What should the Federal Reserve do now? Step back... and don't be so anxious to raise rates at the first sign of economic improvement.
Individuals and businesses need stability in their financial cost structures so that they can plan effectively and keep their ships afloat. Wildly fluctuating rates... regardless of what the absolute levels are... create problems. Either too much spending or too much fear. It's just not that difficult to comprehend. Why has it been so difficult for the Fed?

About Me

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Michigan, United States
Air Force (SAC) captain 1968-72. Retired after 35 years of business and logistical planning, including running a small business. Two sons with advanced degrees; one with a business and pre-law degree. Beautiful wife who has put up with me for 4 decades. Education: B.A. (Sociology major; minors in philosopy, English literature, and German) M.S. Operations Management (like a mixture of an MBA with logistical planning)