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Monday, August 27, 2012

2012 Election Spoiler?

SEARCH BLOG: GOVERNMENT.

Ralph Nader showed the way in 2000 when he cost Al Gore the state of Florida and the presidency.  Will the Libertarians return the favor in 2012 with Gary Johnson?  It seems that some Ron Paul supporters would rather have hell than purgatory.  From reason.com:


  • 16% Have Favorable Opinion of Libertarian Candidate Gary Johnson

RELATED:

WEDNESDAY, MAY 02, 2012


Libertarians - Lose Not Join

2012 IS HERE

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Blog Archive

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      • Energy Independence By 2020
      • Romney: The American Dream Or The American Nightmare
      • Obama's Faded Poster - Change We Can Believe In
      • The Wealthy Who Support Obama
      • Paul Ryan Speaks At The GOP Convention
      • GOP Convention: Speeches Are Good But Specifics Ar...
      • 55 In 25
      • Romney Economics Versus Obamanomics
      • Capitalistic Laborers' Excessive Profits From Thei...
      • 2012 Election Spoiler?
      • Obama Says: I Built That Company For You
      • Goodbye, Neil Armstrong
      • Romney Offers To Show Official Birth Certificate
      • Conservation - The Law Of Unintended Consequences
      • Obama's Legacy: Hope Did Not Change Things For The...
      • What The H...???!!!
      • Abortions
      • 70 Democratic Party Socialists - A Fungus Among Us
      • Top Obama Cabinet Member Sued Over Sexual Harrassment
      • Will Political Attitudes Toward Illegal Aliens App...
      • Apple Now The Most Valuable U.S. Company Ever
      • Text To Speech For Blogs
      • Obama's Racist Message - "Romney Is A Racist"
      • Think Like An Economist
      • R.I.P. Spc. Kyle McClain
      • President Obama Proposes Rational Discussion About...
      • Sen. Wyden Did Not Build That Plan
      • Regulations Protect Us From Evil Farmers
      • GM - Bailout Worked Almost
      • This Sort Of Racist Gossip Would Be Condemned - If...
      • Supreme Court: Illegal Activity Should Be Rewarded
      • Restart The Military Draft
      • Worst Olympic Closing Ceremony Ever?
      • Obamacare War On Women... And Men... And Children....
      • Government Protecting You From Unfair Businesses
      • New 2016 Olympic Competition Explained To Americans
      • Forward Or Backward
      • Paul Ryan - A Boost Or Bane For Romney?
      • Romney and Ryan: Will The Country Get Some R&R Fro...
      • Obama's Afghanistan Strategy: We Gotta Do Somethin...
      • Democrats Go "Nucelar" Over Energy
      • What We Would Like To Hear: I'll Show You Mine If ...
      • Don't Look To 2013 For The Economic Cure
      • Primary Day In Michigan
      • Recovery In Name Only
      • Pussy In Chief: It Was Handled
      • Social Justice Department Of Justice Style
      • Obama's World: Black To Black
      • Dying For Afghanistan: A Memorial To A Brave Soldier
      • Obama's Plan: Expand Cities Through Defacto Annexa...
      • What Did Romney Mean By Culture?
      • Obamacare Anti-Religious Mandate Takes Effect Today
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Climate Change - What Is and Is Not (Short List)

  • Dr. Benny Peiser - Climate and Social Commentary
  • Images and Issues Related To Climate Change and Global Warming - downloadable 5.4mb Adobe file
  • NASA - Earth's Fidgeting Climate
  • NASA - Deep Freeze and Sea Breeze: Changing Land and Weather in Florida
  • Dr. Pielke - A new paradigm for assessing the role of agriculture in the climate system and in climate change
  • Dr. Pielke - Unresolved Issues with the Assessment of Multi-Decadal Global Land-Surface (3+mb pdf)
  • Dr. Pielke - An overview of regional land use and land cover impacts on rainfall
  • Canadian Scientists Views On Global Warming
  • Dr. Patterson - Urbanization and Temperature Changes
  • Dr. Patterson - Ocean Sediment Changes and Solar Influences
  • Dr. Patterson - Geological Record and Climate Change
  • .........Dr. Timothy Patterson
  • Multi-scale analysis of global temperature changes
  • Dr. Scotese - Climate History
  • Dr. Hulme - Language of Climate Catastrophe
  • Dr. Pidwirny - Causes of Climate Change
  • Climate Science - Dr. Roger Pielke, Sr.
  • ...........Dr. Roger Pielke, Sr.
  • ICECAP - Climate Change Commentary
  • RealClimate
  • ..........RealClimage - Scientific Staff
  • World Climate Report
  • ..........World Climate Report - Scientific Staff
  • NY Times - Arctic's Tropical Past
  • Associated Press - Coal and Climate Cooling
  • Dr. Ray - Environmental Curmudgeon

Science News

  • New Scientist
  • Scientific American
  • Scitizen - an international, scientific-information sharing website from Paris, France

Price of Being Crude

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CO2 Cap and Trade

There is always an easy solution to every human problem—neat, plausible, and wrong.
Henry Louis Mencken (1880–1956)
“The Divine Afflatus,” A Mencken Chrestomathy, chapter 25, p. 443 (1949)
... and one could add "not all human problems really are."
It was beautiful and simple, as truly great swindles are.
- O. Henry
... The Government is on course for an embarrassing showdown with the European Union, business groups and environmental charities after refusing to guarantee that billions of pounds of revenue it stands to earn from carbon-permit trading will be spent on combating climate change.
The Independent (UK)

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Tracking Interest Rates

Tracking Interest Rates

FEDERAL RESERVE & HOUSING

SEARCH BLOG: FEDERAL RESERVE for full versions... or use the Blog Archive pulldown menu.

February 3, 2006
Go back to 1999-2000 and see what the Fed did. They are following the same pattern for 2005-06. If it ain't broke, the Fed will fix it... and good!
August 29, 2006 The Federal Reserve always acts on old information... and is the only cause of U.S. recessions.
December 5, 2006 Last spring I wrote about what I saw to be a sharp downturn in the economy in the "rustbelt" states, particularly Michigan.
March 28, 2007
The Federal Reserve sees no need to cut interest rates in the light of adverse recent economic data, Ben Bernanke said on Wednesday.
The Fed chairman said ”to date, the incoming data have supported the view that the current stance of policy is likely to foster sustainable economic growth and a gradual ebbing in core inflation”.

July 21, 2007 My guess is that if there is an interest rate change, a cut is more likely than an increase. The key variables to be watching at this point are real estate prices and the inventory of unsold homes.
August 11, 2007 I suspect that within 6 months the Federal Reserve will be forced to lower interest rates before housing becomes a black hole.
September 11, 2007 It only means that the overall process has flaws guaranteeing it will be slow in responding to changes in the economy... and tend to over-react as a result.
September 18, 2007 I think a 4% rate is really what is needed to turn the economy back on the right course. The rate may not get there, but more cuts will be needed with employment rates down and foreclosure rates up.
October 25, 2007 How long will it be before I will be able to write: "The Federal Reserve lowered its lending rate to 4% in response to the collapse of the U.S. housing market and massive numbers of foreclosures that threaten the banking and mortgage sectors."
November 28, 2007 FED VICE CHAIRMAN DONALD KOHN
"Should the elevated turbulence persist, it would increase the possibility of further tightening in financial conditions for households and businesses," he said.

"Uncertainties about the economic outlook are unusually high right now," he said. "These uncertainties require flexible and pragmatic policymaking -- nimble is the adjective I used a few weeks ago."
http://www.reuters.com/

December 11, 2007 Somehow the Fed misses the obvious.
fed_rate_moves_425_small.gif
[Image from: CNNMoney.com]
December 13, 2007 [from The Christian Science Monitor]
"The odds of a recession are now above 50 percent," says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com. "We are right on the edge of a recession in part because of the Fed's reluctance to reduce interest rates more aggressively." [see my comments of September 11]
January 7, 2008 The real problem now is that consumers can't rescue the economy and manufacturing, which is already weakening, will continue to weaken. We've gutted the forces that could avoid a downturn. The question is not whether there will be a recession, but can it be dampened sufficiently so that it is very short.
January 11, 2008 This is death by a thousand cuts.
January 13, 2008 [N.Y. Times]
“The question is not whether we will have a recession, but how deep and prolonged it will be,” said David Rosenberg, the chief North American economist at Merrill Lynch. “Even if the Fed’s moves are going to work, it will not show up until the later part of 2008 or 2009.”
January 17, 2008 A few days ago, Anna Schwartz, nonagenarian economist, implicated the Federal Reserve as the cause of the present lending crisis [from the Telegraph - UK]:
The high priestess of US monetarism - a revered figure at the Fed - says the central bank is itself the chief cause of the credit bubble, and now seems stunned as the consequences of its own actions engulf the financial system. "The new group at the Fed is not equal to the problem that faces it," she says, daring to utter a thought that fellow critics mostly utter sotto voce.
January 22, 2008 The cut has become infected and a limb is in danger. Ben Bernanke is panicking and the Fed has its emergency triage team cutting rates... this time by 3/4%. ...

What should the Federal Reserve do now? Step back... and don't be so anxious to raise rates at the first sign of economic improvement.
Individuals and businesses need stability in their financial cost structures so that they can plan effectively and keep their ships afloat. Wildly fluctuating rates... regardless of what the absolute levels are... create problems. Either too much spending or too much fear. It's just not that difficult to comprehend. Why has it been so difficult for the Fed?

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About Me

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Bruce Hall
Michigan, United States
Air Force (SAC) captain 1968-72. Retired after 35 years of business and logistical planning, including running a small business. Two sons with advanced degrees; one with a business and pre-law degree. Beautiful wife who has put up with me for 4 decades. Education: B.A. (Sociology major; minors in philosopy, English literature, and German) M.S. Operations Management (like a mixture of an MBA with logistical planning)
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Stupidity Has Its Own Rewards


The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it.

- George Bernard Shaw

Climate Comments

  • Watts Up With That?
    Slate’s Climate Extinction Scare Debunked: Why Humanity Isn’t Doomed - If Slate is genuinely concerned about the future of humanity, it would serve its readers better by discussing practical, evidence-based adaptation strategi...
    29 minutes ago
  • Climate Audit
    Reconstructing the Esper Reconstruction - As discussed in previous article, Esper et al (2024) link, the newest hockey stick diagram, asserted that 2023 was the “warmest summer” in millennia by an ...
    11 months ago
  • C3
    Global Warming Surges: From 1850 To The Current Climate - A very quick overview of the global temperature evolution. According to climate science researchers, there have been several surges in global temperatures ...
    1 year ago
  • Tom Nelson
    Response to Don Cheadle - (This post was written to respond to Don's Twitter question here) Don, off the top of my head, here are some things I believe: 1. CO2 is a greenhouse gas 2...
    5 years ago
  • Climate Depot
    Dr. Pielke Jr. mocks new claim: ‘A magic force field’ is now preventing land-falling hurricanes? – Warmists scramble to explain lack of extreme weather - Background: Roger Pielke Jr. wrote last month in the WSJ, “There is scant evidence to indicate that hurricanes, floods, tornadoes or drought have become mo...
    8 years ago
  • Climate Skeptic
    Revisiting (Yet Again) Hansen’s 1998 Forecast on Global Warming to Congress - I want to briefly revisit Hansen’s 1998 Congressional forecast. Yes, I and many others have churned over this ground many times, but I think I now have a ...
    9 years ago
  • Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr.
    Roger Pielke Sr. is now on Twitter! - You can now follow Roger on Twitter. You can find him at @RogerAPielkeSr
    11 years ago
  • ICECAP - Click here for access
    -

From The Heritage Foundation

  • Trump’s Tariff Strategy Can Work but America Still Needs Deeper Economic Reform
  • Why This Republican Lawmaker Is a ‘No’ for Now on ‘Big, Beautiful Bill’
  • The Biden Cover-Up Scandal Just Got WORSE
  • Obama-Appointed Judge Blocks Trump’s Bid to Revamp Institute of Peace
  • There’s No Love Like the Democrats’ Love of Illegal Alien Criminals

Judicial Watch - Feed

  • Sanctuary State Releases Unlicensed Illegal Immigrant Who Killed Boy, Injured Grandma
  • Judicial Watch: Former State Official Testifies He Warned State Department Officials about Clinton Email Issues; Concerned about Interference on Classified Clinton Benghazi Email Documents
  • Judicial Watch Sues CIA for Inspector General’s Report on Mena, Arkansas, Airport Drug, Arms Smuggling Allegations
  • Judicial Watch: Court Hearing on Tuesday, October 3 in Taxpayer Lawsuit to Prevent DC Government from Illegally Spending Taxpayer Money through Budget Autonomy Act
  • Judicial Watch: Documents Show HHS Used IRS to Push Obamacare, Use of Confidential Taxpayer Information Raises Legal Questions

Adm. Perry Would Have Agreed

Adm. Perry Would Have Agreed
Who's Adm. Perry?

Declaration of Independence

Independence Day 2010 Jul-04 - 2010
Declaration Of Independence - Item 2 Jul-05 - 2010
Declaration Of Independence - Item 4 Jul-06 - 2010
Declaration Of Independence - Item 10 Jul-07 - 2010
Declaration Of Independence - Item 13 Jul-08 - 2010
Declaration Of Independence - Item 17 Jul-09 - 2010
Declaration Of Independence - Conclusion Jul-10 - 2010

U.S. Statewide Temperature Records

High and Low temperature extremes - updated through 2011. These records establish the climate boundaries for each state and are shown by decade of occurrence. If a previous record is tied, the most recent occurrence is counted and the previous occurrence is dropped... a slight bias toward later decades. SOURCE DATA

VARIOUS BLOGGERS - AN ECLECTIC BLEND OF INDEPENDENT THINKERS

  • Climate - Anthony Watts
  • Climate - Climate Audit
  • Climate - Climate Depot
  • Climate - Greenie Watch
  • Climate - Climate Science
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  • Economics - Carpe Diem
  • Economics - Econbrowser
  • Economics - John B. Taylor; Stanford
  • Sweden - Every Kinda People
  • Al Fin
  • American Thinker
  • American Power Blog
  • Astute Bloggers
  • CoyoteBlog
  • Debbie Schlussel
  • Gateway Pundit
  • Jawa Report
  • Jihad Watch
  • Martin Kelly
  • Michigan Residents - Mackinac Center for Public Policy
  • Michigan Taxes
  • The Reference Frame - Lubos Motl's Blog
  • Right Michigan
  • Weasel Zippers

You Get The Government For Which You Voted

Blame the people who voted for the person who nominate that person who will be confirmed by the people who were elected by the people who simply didn't understand what was meant by a "pig in the poke." Or, to put it another way, "... we have to pass the bill [confirm the nominee] so that you can find out what is in it [her mind]...."

via www.patdollard.com

What's Your Plan?

What's Your Plan?

New Definition Of Constitutional Law

Together with Justice Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan's confirmation would represent a shift toward a younger, changing court, one that values experiences outside the courtroom and emphasizes personal interactions as much as deep knowledge of the law. The Washington Post

Current Weather

Temperatures °F. Use your browser's zoom feature to increase image size.

Europe Current Temperatures °C.

When will the economic turnaround occur?

Until business perceives that the government is not going to continually change the rules of the game, there will be a reluctance to commit resources and hire people. And until that happens, the economy will languish.

The government is trying to push the economy higher with mandates, taxes, and higher spending; but it needs the private sector to pull it higher with real demand.

US mulls tax on rich to pay for healthcare

By Sarah O’Connor in Washington

Published: July 12 2009 18:51 | Last updated: July 12 2009 21:10

The Obama administration is open to the idea of taxing the wealthiest Americans to pay for healthcare reform, health secretary Kathleen Sebelius suggested yesterday as the House of Representatives prepares to incorporate such a plan in its draft healthcare bill.

In the spirit of Thomas Jefferson, legislative information from the Library of Congress [THOMAS]

Library of Congress

Current Activity

  • Congressional Record Latest Daily Digest |
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"There is danger from all men. The only maxim of a free government ought to be to trust no man living with power to endanger the public liberty." - John Adams

"An enlightened citizenry is indispensable for the proper functioning of a republic. Self-government is not possible unless the citizens are educated sufficiently to enable them to exercise oversight." - Thomas Jefferson

We would have been richer had there been no nature-induced recession

“North American temperatures would have been considerably colder in 2008 had there been no human-induced warming influence present,” Perlwitz said. [Source]

Ironic Words

March 2007

The science is settled, Gore told the lawmakers. Carbon-dioxide emissions — from cars, power plants, buildings and other sources — are heating the Earth's atmosphere.

Gore said that if left unchecked, global warming could lead to a drastic change in the weather, sea levels and other aspects of the environment. And he pointed out that these conclusions are not his, but those of a vast majority of scientists who study the issue.

Members of the committee, Democrats and Republicans alike, listened very carefully to Gore, as they seemed to take to heart his final message: that in a few years this whole debate will look very different.

"This is not a partisan issue, this is a moral issue," Gore said. "And our children are going to be demanding this."

The Real 'Inconvenient Truth'

From Watts Up With That?

Climategate: hide the decline – codified


From Theo Spark - Click Image

U.S. Extreme Temperatures - Statewide Annual Records

Click on the map to see details. Compare the 1930s' records with the 1990s. Where's the global warming? FROM: http://ggweather.com/

Climate Science Versus IPCC

Climate Metric Reality Check #1 - The Sum Of Climate Forcings and Feedbacks Is Less Than The 2007 IPCC Best Estimate Of Human Climate Forcing Of Global Warming

and

Why We Need Estimates Of The Current Global Average Radiative Forcing

These failures of the projections (predictions) of the 2007 IPCC report, by themselves, should result in the rejection of the IPCC report as representing settled climate science.

SOURCE

Climate Forcings - Consensus Without Knowledge?

Climate Forcings - Consensus Without Knowledge?

Just Disregard The Sun Above Your Heads... It's The CO2 You Produce

As of Sept. 15, the current solar minimum ranks third all-time in the amount of spotless days with 717 since 2004. There have been 206 spotless days in 2009, which is 14th all-time. But there are still more than 100 days left in the year, and Perry expects that number to climb. Perry, who studies sunspots and solar activity in his spare time, received an undergraduate degree in physics at Kansas State University and a Ph.D in physics and astronomy at The University of Kansas. He also has spent time as a meteorologist.

image From Icecap

Explaining Higher and Lower Temperatures

If there is a period of warmer than average/normal temperatures, that is evidence of man made global warming.

If there is a period of cooler than average/normal temperatures, that is simply natural variability pausing global warming.

2008 = 1980

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