READ ABOUT DETROIT AND SOLUTIONS TO ITS PROBLEMS. CLICK HERE.

Friday, January 15, 2010

North American International Auto Show

SEARCH BLOG: AUTOMOBILES and DETROIT

At least once a year, Detroit gets to shine... literally. That's when the North American International Auto Show returns with a dizzying array of practical, provocative, and phantasmagorical vehicles from manufacturers all over the world.

This year, along with the interest generated by electric vehicles and really slick small vehicles,

2012 Ford Focus - The Detroit News

the show is also benefitting from some very good weather. The nastiness that marked the first dozen days of the month has given way to a legitimate January thaw. That should bring out more people.

Automobile manufacturers are beginning to offer vehicles that seemed a long way off just a couple of years ago. The quality is terrific and the variety of styling and powertrains overflowing. The next few years should be banner years for the consumers. It's a long way removed from the bland looks and mediocre performance of past years. Even GM, the bastion of conservatism, is trying to break the old molds and with some success.

Cadillac XTS Platinum Concept - NAIAS

I'm not quite sure that the U.S. buying public is ready for this even if it does open up more parking spaces...

Commuter Cars Tango - NAIAS

No, the picture is not distorted. It really is a four-wheeled, enclosed motorcycle. But this may be what the U.S. government has in mind for you.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Thursday, January 14, 2010

It Is Time To Drop Political Red Herrings

SEARCH BLOG: GOVERNMENT

Obfuscation: the act or an instance of making something obscure, dark, or difficult to understand.

Energy policy has been entwined with environmental policy which has been entwined with climate policy which has been entwined with foreign policy which has been entwined with economic policy which has been entwined with judicial policy. Each policy seems to be dependent on the other in a circular fashion. Perhaps it is time to reveal the entwining and get to the heart of the policies.

  • Why is an abundant, inexpensive, reliable resource such as coal undesirable as an energy source if it lessens dependence on foreign sources of energy and the technology is present to make it environmentally clean?

  • Why is it better to buy energy resources and materials from politically antagonistic nations than develop domestic sources?

  • Why is it better to hastily address uncertain climate variables with immature technologies of doubtful efficacy and dubious taxation schemes rather than wait for significantly better understanding of climate drivers and better technologies to allow adaption to any change?

  • Why does judicial proclamation precede scientific proof as the measure of science?

  • Why are the workings of the economic marketplace replaced by the workings of the special interest tax incentives?
The answer to all of those questions, and many more, is simple: special interests. And in order for special interests to operate successfully within the framework of our government, there is only one process that makes that possible: obfuscation.

Where is all of that transparency we were promised? Of course, then Sen. Obama never meant that the proceedings of the U.S. government should be open to the public. He only meant that the public should be made clearly aware of what their leaders had decided regarding how the people would be allowed to conduct their lives after the decisions were made. He knows, after all, that openness in government could only lead to a knowledgeable electorate... and that couldn't be what our Founding Fathers intended.
"Transparency:" an obfuscation of "hidden, invisible, that which cannot be seen." Example: the government proceedings were so transparent that no outsider could see them.
Also known as doublespeak or doublethink.

It is that thinking that has driven the growth of the government based on special interests' interpretation of the need for government to be really large and powerful in order to promote the general welfare. James Madison stated that the “general welfare” clause was not intended to give Congress an open hand “to exercise every power which may be alleged to be necessary for the common defense or general welfare.”

Or was that not obfuscated enough?

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Wednesday, January 13, 2010

Cold Weather Deaths

SEARCH BLOG: GLOBAL WARMING

Not only is the fear of Global Warming scientifically unsound, it is also logically unsound.

Many more deaths are associated with cold weather than hot weather:

  • Illnesses
  • Exposure
  • Accidents
An example of the latter:
Weather blamed in Orion Township crash that killed 3 teens

Driver, who is mom of one victim, hospitalized

Mike Martindale and Mark Hicks / The Detroit News

Orion Township -- When three teen girls were riding home last week, they were as jubilant as usual.

Ashley Felder and twins Sy'mone Analyse Nicole Johnson and Brianna Marie Latreese Johnson, all 14, were returning from Oxford High School, where two of the girls were on a cheerleading squad.

In the car, "they were laughing and joking, having fun," said Robert Elam, the boyfriend of the twins' mother, who drove them home. "They were outgoing girls ... liked to have a good time."

Advertisement

That would change days later.

All three girls died early Monday after piling into a 2005 Toyota for a ride to a school in blowing snow.

As Felder's mother, Barbara, 39, headed north on Joslyn near Lake Sixteen about 7 a.m., she apparently lost control of the vehicle and slid into the southbound lanes and into the path of a 2002 GMC Sierra pickup. The crash killed all three girls. "The snow was blowing almost to a whiteout for a period this morning," said Oakland County Undersheriff Michael McCabe, who was in the area around the time of the crash.

"There's no question this was weather-related."

Read more....

You seldom, if ever, read about traffic accidents caused by extreme heat conditions. Cars may overheat, but there will not be pileups of dozens of vehicles sliding around as they do on icy roads or crashes as happens in whiteout conditions.

Cold is the unnatural environment for humans; heat is the natural environment. Far more people survive in semi-primitive conditions in hot climates than cold.

We should welcome a warmer climate... even if that might mean a gradual erosion of some shoreline property. Unfortunately, we could be in for a colder climate.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Tuesday, January 12, 2010

Tough Decision: Tax and Spend or Spend and Tax

SEARCH BLOG: TAXES

In the category of "I had hope that things would change, but I didn't mean this:"

Is this a new definition of "asset relief?"

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Mini Ice Age Or Another Periodic Climate Oscillation?

SEARCH BLOG: CLIMATE CHANGE

Anthony Watts ran this post at his blog:

IPCC scientist: Global cooling headed our way for the next 30 years? 11 01 2010

We’ve been covering a lot of the recent cold outbreaks under the “weather is not climate department” heading. This story however is about both weather and climate and what one IPCC scientist thinks is headed our way.

From NASA Earth Observatory: December temperatures compared to average December temps recorded between 2000 and 2008. Blue indicates colder than average land surface temperatures, while red indicates warmer temperatures. Click for source.

The cold this December and January has been noteworthy and newsworthy. We just posted that December 2009 was the Second Snowiest on Record in the Northern Hemisphere. Beijing was hit by its heaviest snowfall in 60 years, and Korea had the largest snowfall ever recorded since record keeping began in 1937. Plus all of Britain was recently covered by snow.

The cold is setting records too.

Read full post...

This is consistent with last November's two-part post regarding the NCAR Study. The second part explains why.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Monday, January 11, 2010

The Great Wall Of Israel

SEARCH BLOG: ISRAEL

It worked for China.

On Sunday, Mr Netanyahu said he had approved the construction of sections of barrier that would block the main infiltration routes along the 266km (166-mile) frontier, and the installation of advanced surveillance equipment.

The project is set to cost $270m and take two years to complete.

...

Egypt is meanwhile building an underground barrier along its border with Gaza to stem the smuggling of weapons through tunnels.

Full story...

Interesting... you'll take the high road and I'll take the low road....

Isn't there something like that going on in Arizona? Something like that....


Maybe like our airport security, we should ask the Israelis how it should be done.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Sunday, January 10, 2010

2009 Preliminary All-Time Statewide Monthly Temperature Records

SEARCH BLOG: GLOBAL WARMING

A check of the National Climatic Data Center records for 2009 revealed that there were no all-time, statewide, monthly high or low temperature records set for the United States.

The database from the NCDC showed the following number of weather stations included in the reports:



Station Count For All-Time Monthly Records

Max. High Min. Low
Jan 145,875 152,419*
Feb 92,812 92,264
Mar 110,031 148,003
Apr 175,634 177,291
May 186,425 191,452
Jun 179,744 183,805
Jul 184,663 189,227
Aug 184,317 189,167
Sep 178,261 182,857
Oct 186,578 192,140
Nov 186,578 186,031
Dec 186,092 191,099
May-Dec Average 184,082 188,222
* As noted in yesterday's post, there is some question about the missing all-time record minimum for Maine set in January about which we are attempting to get clarification.

Additionally, the stations used for reporting maximum temperatures appear to have duplicated the October set for November. While this duplication may have been identified, there appears to have been no effort to correct the problem in the publically available data.

This does little inspire confidence in the data upon which public policy is being built.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Interesting Google Search Options

SEARCH BLOG: GOOGLE

You'll never fail to be surprised by the creative ways that Google presents information. While most people are familiar with the normal Google [or other browser] search results, Google offers a number of options that normally remain hidden.

There is one called the "Wonder Wheel" that produces output like this [click on images for larger view]:
And there is the other is the "Timeline" search:

By clicking on a segment of the timeline, you can narrow the search to that narrower time frame.

You can continue to narrow the search to a specific month in this manner.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Saturday, January 09, 2010

Another Weather Curiosity

SEARCH BLOG: WEATHER

UPDATE

There may be more to this story. We'll give NCDC a chance to respond.

----------

I was going through the 2009 records at the National Climatic Data Center and noticed that there were no new all-time low monthly records set during January 2009. That seemed curious to me because I recalled reading this:

Tuesday, February 10, 2009
New Maine and New England All-Time Cold Record Confirmed

By Giselle Goodman, Maine Portland Press Herald - Maine Today

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Geological Survey and Maine State Climate Office announced today that a minus-50 reading in northwestern Maine held up to scientific scrutiny. That beats Maine’s old record of 48 below zero set in 1925 in Van Buren, and ties the record for coldest temperature recorded in New England. That reading was made in 1933 in Bloomfield, Vt.

The record on New Hampshire’s Mount Washington is minus -47. Maine’s minus-50 reading was made on Jan. 16 at a remote site along the Big Black River near the Quebec border as the region was in the grip of a blast of arctic air.

By the way after a thaw this week, cold air will return starting Friday to the nation. Watch for lots of cold and snow probably the rest of the month.

image

See story here. Don’t expect it to receive a lot of national media coverage.

So I checked back to some older NCDC news and found this as part of the January 2009 NCDC overview:
Several minimum temperature records were set this month (see below), including a pending new state record minimum of -50°F (-45.3°C) recorded on the 16th at Big Black River, ME.
Apparently that confirmed record may have been tossed along with another one in Illinois which was disallowed because it wasn't an "official" site, but had been calibrated the day before.

I've written to the NCDC for some clarification. The first quarter reporting seems to be missing data from thousands of stations, so it is possible that the Maine station data wasn't added in. There are about 185K to 190K stations reporting each month. Last January had about 150K, February dropped way down to about half of normal at 92K, and March was up to 148K. April showed a recovery to 177K and by May the full complement of around 190K stations were reporting... or included in the reports.

Of course, you all remember how cold last winter was... don't you? Well, I don't have the data, but it was. When an organization is dealing with as much data as is generated for the U.S. weather... much less global weather... it is reasonable to expect occasional glitches. I have no indication that there is any "East Anglia-ing" with the data. This seems to be a systemic problem for a period of months. But it should be corrected if possible.

By the way, it also appears that the October and November 2009 monthly all-time record high temperature data may have an issue. There were exactly the same number of reporting stations... 186,578... for both months. While that may seem reasonable, it is generally not the rule with the NCDC records which usually vary by a few thousand each month. It seems more likely that October records may have been input for November as well which could certainly overstate temperatures.

Odd, but I seem to recall another distraction around the end of November or early December when these records were run.

I'll let you know what the NCDC response is when I get it.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Weather Curiosity

SEARCH BLOG: WEATHER

Perhaps it is just my imagination, but it seems like Great Falls, Montana is always warmer than anyplace nearby in the winter.

Is there a giant heater at Malmstrom AFB? East, west, south... all colder.

Oh, it's that 32°F between the 10° and the -12°. It's like a natural heat sink or something. Right under the first "r" in "Temperatures" for those of you out east.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Irish Weather Down On Its Luck

SEARCH BLOG: WEATHER

Up-to-date weather maps linked to The Weather Channel are shown in the right column. This is not what it is supposed to look like:

That minus 8 in Dublin is about 18°F. Normal high is 46°F and normal low is 37°F. There'll be a bit of Baileys being consumed in the hot coffee I think.

But it has been pointed out that Western Greenland is warmer than normal.

Google Maps Satellite Imagery

That's quite a consolation.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Friday, January 08, 2010

Energy Costs Before Government Subsidies

SEARCH BLOG: ENERGY

A really good graphic that makes it clear what giving up coal and oil as the primary sources of our energy will be.

Agence France-Presse/Getty Images
Now read the article.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Jobless Recovery Continues

SEARCH BLOG: ECONOMY

Economists probably have a great reason for economic recovery while employment continues to decline:

  • Rebuilding inventories
  • Anticipation of future demand
  • Government stimulus
  • Hope
From CNN:

"There is going to be a lot less demand for goods and services, and Corporate America is still adjusting to that. A lot of these jobs are not coming back for a long time," he said. "People don't have as much credit available and they are not going to spend as much."

Along those lines, UPS (UPS, Fortune 500) announced Friday that it was cutting 1,800 jobs.

"Looking into the future through my cloudy crystal ball, you have to wonder where the job growth is going to come from. No sector is really poised for dramatic job gains," said John Norris, managing director of wealth management with Oakworth Capital Bank in Birmingham, Ala.

Read more....

By the way, The Wall Street Journal cited better earnings at UPS:

United Parcel Service Inc. raised its earnings guidance Friday but said it will cut 1,800 jobs and that it still expects a gradual economic recovery.

The package shipper cited cost savings and a better-than-expected domestic and international performance for the increase in fourth-quarter expectations.

UPS is viewed as a key barometer for global trade activity, and the new guidance follows a late surge in shipping as retailers and manufacturers restocked ahead of the 2009 holiday season. Manufacturing orders also have been trending higher in recent weeks, and other transport indicators such as rail carloads have seen year-on-year improvements.

It seems like there may be some hedging of bets going on in the corporate sector. Sort of "things are improving, but maybe not."

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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New Health Savings Account IRA Approved By Congress

SEARCH BLOG: HEALTH CARE

In light of the increasing cost of health care, the pending reduction of Medicare funding with concomitant increases in costs to retirees, and the requirement that all people buy heath insurance, the Obama administration has just announced that it will allow those over 65 or those on Medicare disability to roll over any amount from a traditional IRA or 401K plan into a new Health Savings Account IRA.

This means that rather than paying taxes on IRA or 401K withdrawals and then paying for medical expenses, the funds would escape taxation in the rollover and would not be taxed if used for legitimate medical expenses, including dental surgery.

Certain elective surgeries such as facial cosmetic surgery, unless to repair accidental damage, would not be eligible. Rep. Nancy Pelosi said, "We have to draw the lines somewhere."


This may represent a savings of 20% or more to most retirees who will be forced to use their retirement savings to pay for the increased costs of the new Affordable Health Care program.

President Obama said,

"We recognize the increasing health care burden that the new Affordable Health Care legislation will have on our senior citizens and feel a moral obligation to not penalize them twice through higher health care costs and higher taxes resulting from being forced to increase their annual "taxable incomes" through the accelerated liquidation of their savings."

Thursday, January 07, 2010

Blame It On Global Warming

SEARCH BLOG: GLOBAL WARMING

UPDATE ON JAN 9

After you read the post below, go here. I can't believe our President's man is this dense.

---------------

Not that this makes any sense to blame this second consecutive very cold winter on global warming... but some nut will.

Meanwhile...

Oh, wait. Someone in India just did. Well, what did you expect?

According to D. Handique, the director of the Regional Meteorological Centre at Borjhar in Guwahati, the temperatures will dip further in the next few days in the region.

An expert on climactic changes at the Regional Meteorological Centre said the severity has been felt this time because of the fact that global warming has pushed average temperatures by three or four degrees over the past decade.

So, the severe cold wasn't caused by global warming, but the deaths were because the people were used to warmer temperatures.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Corporate Taxes

SEARCH BLOG: TAXES

Just a thought that has bothered me for some time: every dollar that a business pays in taxes is a dollar that does not go toward products, services, employees, or other investments that enrich society. Don't you wonder what the economic impact of eliminating most or all taxes from corporations would be?

The January 4 issue of Barron's had an editorial commentary by Thomas G. Donlan titled Taxation Without Justification that addressed the issue of corporate income taxes.

The corporate income tax penalizes business success - a peculiar thing to do at any time, but particularly when economic success has been scarce. Companies create jobs when they are successful, and the surest sign of success in the marketplace is a profit. Reducing profits reduces the ability of successful companies to expand and to hire.
Well, sure but then the government would not have sufficient funding for programs to support people who don't have jobs now because companies don't have the resources to hire them. Oh, wait....

That free lunch you are eating is someone else's job.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Wednesday, January 06, 2010

This Climate Study May Be Correct

SEARCH BLOG: CLIMATE

The teams from climates more similar to that of the bowl site have won over 60% of the BCS games, winning 28 of those 46 games. (The participants in the 2009 Orange Bowl, Cincinnati and Virginia Tech, are from locations with the same average temperature, so the results do not reflect this game.) In some instances, the relative weather of the participant schools was negligible. For example, when Ohio State and Notre Dame played each other in the 2006 Fiesta Bowl, neither school had a climate advantage. Columbus, Ohio and South Bend, Indiana have average temperatures within four degrees of one another, and neither average temperature is similar to that of Tempe, Arizona. There have been six such match-ups with teams from very similar climates. When disregarding these negligible differences, teams from locations with climates significantly more similar to that of the bowl site than their opponents have won over 62% of the BCS games.

Source
Perhaps there is something to that. Last week, Wisconsin played Miami at Orlando which would normally favor Miami in terms of both distance to the game site and climate similarity. But the temperatures in Orlando hovered around 40°F. The Wisconsin players looked perfectly comfortable both playing and standing on the sidelines. The favored Miami team looked unsynchronized and uncomfortable both playing and on the sidelines.. Wisconsin won.

Last night in Miami, favored Georgia Tech from Atlanta played Iowa. The distance to the game site and climate would normally favor Georgia Tech. But the temperatures in Miami hovered around the mid-40s. Georgia players were blowing on their hands to try to keep them warm. Iowa players looked quite comfortable in temperatures about 40°F higher from what they had left at home. Iowa won.

By the way, according to the announcers, this was the coldest Orange Bowl game ever played. As the University of Miami and Georgia Tech players might have asked, "Where is global warming when you need it?" Too bad they didn't have some of those scientists from England reworking the numbers to make the temperatures higher.

Or... the underdog Big Ten teams may simply have been better.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Educational Game Changer

SEARCH BLOG: DETROIT and EDUCATION

This appeared in The Detroit News:

Detroit News Lansing Bureau

Lansing
— Michigan has two weeks to finalize its application for about $400 million in federal “Race to the Top” cash, following Gov. Jennifer Granholm’s signing of education reform bills Monday aimed at qualifying for the aid.

The five-bill package will raise the state’s dropout age to 18, tie teacher pay and job security to stu­dent achievement and open about 30 new charter schools.

“The reason this is so signifi­cant is now everything will be fo­cused
on: ‘Is this child learning?’ ” Granholm said. “It’s all about aca­demic progress.”

State schools Superintendent Michael Flanagan added: “This is a game changer forever.”
Just a few observations:
  • Detroit's education system has a graduation rate of about 25%... or less.
  • Trying to force would-be dropouts to attend classes would be an impossible task and blaming their absence on teachers would be unreasonable.
  • Would the parents of those would-be dropout be held civilly liable for their absences from school?
  • Who "inculcates" the students regarding the importance of an education in getting a job when the jobless rate in Detroit is over 30% and about 15% for the entire state?
  • What will be the security and disciplinary improvements to support teachers who are required to babysit unresponsive 17-year olds?
  • Will students who fail to attend classes until they are 18 be sent to juvenile detention facilities or city cleanup details?
Gov. Granholm's plan boils down to this: we're going to get federal money to cover the administrative bungling that has plagued the State's educational system and place all of the responsibility and none of the authority on the teachers to achieve a dramatic improvement in the academic achievement of children who do not want to be students and whose parents do not care if they are students. It's easy to blame the teachers' union for all of the problems, but realistically the government... state and local... and the school boards can claim the lion's share of failure. It's like blaming soldiers for not winning a war when major areas of support are withheld... including rational policies.

Are there incompetent or indifferent teachers? Surely there are. But the percentage is probably lower than the incompetent and indifferent administrators, bureaucrats, and politicians running the circus.

Perhaps Gov. Granholm should exempt the Detroit Public School system from the requirements of the legislation. Otherwise, one can foresee the number of teachers in the DPS dwindling to... zero. Or perhaps they need Sister Mary Joseph and her wooden ruler whacking a few knuckles. And I think charter schools might be a good idea... if they were run totally independently from the public school district.

Personally, you couldn't pay me enough to deal with some of the imbeciles that the Governor wants to pass off as students. Legalize marijuana and put the dropouts in warehouses of that stuff until they turn 18. The results couldn't be worse and the cost would be a lot less.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Tuesday, January 05, 2010

We Will Soon Make Nothing To Sell

SEARCH BLOG: ECONOMY

The latest news is that manufacturing is making a comeback. Yet somehow those stories seem a little hollow. Sort of like employment losses declining. Improvements; yes. Time to get excited; not quite.

We continue to hear from economists that outsourcing to Asia and elsewhere only affects the industries that are too labor intensive or just not all that important. The Bureau of Labor Statistics breaks down the winners and losers for various "industries." One thing to note is that "industry" doesn't necessarily mean "industrial" in the more familiar sense. It means business sector.

The startling picture is that we are on a fast track to nowhere. Manufacturing is rapidly declining and we are now a "service" economy... getting poorer by taking care of non-productive segments of the economy. The only growth seems to be in health care. Does that mean we need to have more sick people to continue economic growth? Hardly seems plausible. [click "Read more" link below for the full story]

Monday, January 04, 2010

Can Private Money Save Detroit?

SEARCH BLOG: DETROIT

This has come up several times, but this particular version is interesting because it doesn't involve a government solution:

Can farming save Detroit?

urban_agriculture.top.jpg

By D
avid Whitford, editor at large

DETROIT (Fortune) -- John Hantz is a wealthy money manager who lives in an older enclave of Detroit where all the houses are grand and not all of them are falling apart. Once a star stockbroker at American Express, he left 13 years ago to found his own firm. Today Hantz Financial Services has 20 offices in Michigan, Ohio, and Georgia, more than 500 employees, and $1.3 billion in assets under management.

Read more....

Click on the label link for "Detroit" below this post for more posts.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Inflated Expectations

SEARCH BLOG: OIL and INFLATION

Some disturbing stories for those who feel that we may be on the brink of an inflationary episode:

It's a bit early to be yelling "buy copper" or "buy garlic," but it may be worth watching the signs more closely. The U.S. government continues to come up with more programs every day that will put inflationary pressures on our economy.

Right now, the ragged condition of the economy is an anchor against inflation, but that may be ending. And it is obvious that the price we pay for being "subsidized" by China and India, among others, is the risk of being whipsawed by incidents and disputes in places most of us can't find in an atlas.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Movies Worth Watching

SEARCH BLOG: ENTERTAINMENT

HBO offered three excellent movies this holiday season and you will appreciate them if you have the opportunity to watch them:





I can go months without finding a movie that interests me and these were three winners in one week.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Sunday, January 03, 2010

Climate Versus Environment Versus Unions

SEARCH BLOG: GLOBAL WARMING and ENVIRONMENT

An interesting dynamic is developing among traditional left-wing organizations. It seems that those who want to save the world through alternative energy are running into opposition by those who want to save the world by protecting the environment who are are running into opposition by those who want to protect their jobs.

  • Union workers upstage N.J. environmental groups' campaign against planned Linden plant
By Brian T. Murray/The Star-Ledger

October 15, 2009, 7:36PM

LINDEN -- Rowdy union workers today upstaged a campaign kick-off by New Jersey environmental groups opposing a unique, coal-fueled electric plant proposed for the City of Linden that will capture its own carbon dioxide output and pipe it under the Atlantic Ocean.

Read more....
  • Some Environmentalists Against Solar Power

Andy Kondrat

We like solar power, right? In the face of all this debate about coal and oil and gas and whatnot, we can look at solar power and find a solution, right? Clean, renewable technology that any lover of the environment can get behind, right? Wrong.Some environmentalists have started to fight back against solar power, especially in the Southern California deserts, where many solar projects are planned.

Read more....
  • The Case Against Local Environmentalism

In case you missed it, a guest post from Edward L. Glaeser, an economics professor at Harvard, from the Economix blog:

Can environmentalism be bad for the environment?

In Massachusetts, the Alliance to Protect Nantucket Sound has led the fight against providing alternative energy with a wind farm off of Cape Cod. Greenpeace declares that “nuclear power is unsafe, uneconomical and unnecessary.” In Canada, the Sierra Club fights against the development of hydroelectric power, fearing “toxic mercury increases in fish.”

Read more....
Of course they are all against any kind of corporate profits and bonuses, so they still have that in common.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Saturday, January 02, 2010

Cold Continues

SEARCH BLOG: GLOBAL WARMING

Somewhere there is global warming, but it is not in the Great Lakes area of the United States... at least for almost two years. 2009 averaged 2.2°F below normal and that was a continuation of 2008 weather.
The first week or so of January is projected to be between 5° and 10° below normal. Tonight is the start of it.


We can only hope this January is not like January 2009 when our overall temperatures averaged 10.1°F below normal.

It's hard to imagine how this area could have adequate heating under a CO2 cap system.

UPDATE

Morning temperatures on Jan. 2:
This may be a classic.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Friday, January 01, 2010

New Year Same Decade

SEARCH BLOG: NEW YEAR

It happened in 2000 when everyone celebrated the New Millennium and new century one year too soon. It happens every year ending in zero when everyone celebrates new decades too soon.

The way we construct our Western calendar [which is a convoluted story in itself] is different from the way we count our age in the West. They are inconsistent.

Birthdays are anniversaries of our births. Unlike the Chinese who assign someone the age of one when they are born... in the first year... we say someone is one year old when they have completed their first year.

Calendars, on the other hand, start counting in the same way that the Chinese count birthdays... in the first year, in the second year... in the tenth year. At the completion of the tenth year, the old decade is complete and the new decade begins. Hence, January 2010 on the calendar marks the beginning of the tenth year of the decade.

When Arthur C. Clarke wrote 2001, he used that year intentionally because it marked the beginning of a new millennium and, in his story, a new chapter for mankind.

So, when we reach midnight on December 31, 2010, we will officially enter the new decade... 2011. But don't be concerned if everyone uses the convenient convention of celebrating a new decade today. After all, it is ten years since January 1, 2000 when we celebrated the Millennium one year early.

Any ten year span is a decade. Just because we can't agree when to celebrate it doesn't have much importance... except to organizers of celebrations. There are so many more other important things upon which we cannot agree.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Happy New Year 2010

SEARCH BLOG: HOLIDAYS

Happy New Year to you and may 2010 be a prosperous one for you, as well.

2012 IS GETTING CLOSER

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Can"t Find It?

Use the SEARCH BLOG feature at the upper left. For example, try "Global Warming".

You can also use the "LABELS" below or at the end of each post to find related posts.

Blog Archive

Cost of Gasoline - Enter Your Zipcode or Click on Map

CO2 Cap and Trade

There is always an easy solution to every human problem—neat, plausible, and wrong.
Henry Louis Mencken (1880–1956)
“The Divine Afflatus,” A Mencken Chrestomathy, chapter 25, p. 443 (1949)
... and one could add "not all human problems really are."
It was beautiful and simple, as truly great swindles are.
- O. Henry
... The Government is on course for an embarrassing showdown with the European Union, business groups and environmental charities after refusing to guarantee that billions of pounds of revenue it stands to earn from carbon-permit trading will be spent on combating climate change.
The Independent (UK)

Tracking Interest Rates

Tracking Interest Rates

FEDERAL RESERVE & HOUSING

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February 3, 2006
Go back to 1999-2000 and see what the Fed did. They are following the same pattern for 2005-06. If it ain't broke, the Fed will fix it... and good!
August 29, 2006 The Federal Reserve always acts on old information... and is the only cause of U.S. recessions.
December 5, 2006 Last spring I wrote about what I saw to be a sharp downturn in the economy in the "rustbelt" states, particularly Michigan.
March 28, 2007
The Federal Reserve sees no need to cut interest rates in the light of adverse recent economic data, Ben Bernanke said on Wednesday.
The Fed chairman said ”to date, the incoming data have supported the view that the current stance of policy is likely to foster sustainable economic growth and a gradual ebbing in core inflation”.

July 21, 2007 My guess is that if there is an interest rate change, a cut is more likely than an increase. The key variables to be watching at this point are real estate prices and the inventory of unsold homes.
August 11, 2007 I suspect that within 6 months the Federal Reserve will be forced to lower interest rates before housing becomes a black hole.
September 11, 2007 It only means that the overall process has flaws guaranteeing it will be slow in responding to changes in the economy... and tend to over-react as a result.
September 18, 2007 I think a 4% rate is really what is needed to turn the economy back on the right course. The rate may not get there, but more cuts will be needed with employment rates down and foreclosure rates up.
October 25, 2007 How long will it be before I will be able to write: "The Federal Reserve lowered its lending rate to 4% in response to the collapse of the U.S. housing market and massive numbers of foreclosures that threaten the banking and mortgage sectors."
November 28, 2007 FED VICE CHAIRMAN DONALD KOHN
"Should the elevated turbulence persist, it would increase the possibility of further tightening in financial conditions for households and businesses," he said.

"Uncertainties about the economic outlook are unusually high right now," he said. "These uncertainties require flexible and pragmatic policymaking -- nimble is the adjective I used a few weeks ago."
http://www.reuters.com/

December 11, 2007 Somehow the Fed misses the obvious.
fed_rate_moves_425_small.gif
[Image from: CNNMoney.com]
December 13, 2007 [from The Christian Science Monitor]
"The odds of a recession are now above 50 percent," says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com. "We are right on the edge of a recession in part because of the Fed's reluctance to reduce interest rates more aggressively." [see my comments of September 11]
January 7, 2008 The real problem now is that consumers can't rescue the economy and manufacturing, which is already weakening, will continue to weaken. We've gutted the forces that could avoid a downturn. The question is not whether there will be a recession, but can it be dampened sufficiently so that it is very short.
January 11, 2008 This is death by a thousand cuts.
January 13, 2008 [N.Y. Times]
“The question is not whether we will have a recession, but how deep and prolonged it will be,” said David Rosenberg, the chief North American economist at Merrill Lynch. “Even if the Fed’s moves are going to work, it will not show up until the later part of 2008 or 2009.
January 17, 2008 A few days ago, Anna Schwartz, nonagenarian economist, implicated the Federal Reserve as the cause of the present lending crisis [from the Telegraph - UK]:
The high priestess of US monetarism - a revered figure at the Fed - says the central bank is itself the chief cause of the credit bubble, and now seems stunned as the consequences of its own actions engulf the financial system. "The new group at the Fed is not equal to the problem that faces it," she says, daring to utter a thought that fellow critics mostly utter sotto voce.
January 22, 2008 The cut has become infected and a limb is in danger. Ben Bernanke is panicking and the Fed has its emergency triage team cutting rates... this time by 3/4%. ...

What should the Federal Reserve do now? Step back... and don't be so anxious to raise rates at the first sign of economic improvement.
Individuals and businesses need stability in their financial cost structures so that they can plan effectively and keep their ships afloat. Wildly fluctuating rates... regardless of what the absolute levels are... create problems. Either too much spending or too much fear. It's just not that difficult to comprehend. Why has it been so difficult for the Fed?

About Me

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Michigan, United States
Air Force (SAC) captain 1968-72. Retired after 35 years of business and logistical planning, including running a small business. Two sons with advanced degrees; one with a business and pre-law degree. Beautiful wife who has put up with me for 4 decades. Education: B.A. (Sociology major; minors in philosopy, English literature, and German) M.S. Operations Management (like a mixture of an MBA with logistical planning)