SEARCH BLOG: GLOBAL WARMING
It is apparent to those involved in great climate debate that there has been a fundamental change in the dynamic of that debate.
Phil Jones, Director of the Climate Research Unit, now weighs in. Does he welcome the idea that, contrary to his own predictions, there may be little or no warming in coming decades? No!Those of you who read the two-part post about the NCAR study and analysis of climate trends in the U.S. will recall this chart.
I hope you’re not right about the lack of warming lasting till about 2020. I’d rather hoped to see the earlier Met Office press release with Doug’s paper that said something like -half the years to 2014 would exceed the warmest year currently on record, 1998!
Still a way to go before 2014.
I seem to be getting an email a week from skeptics saying where’s the warming gone. I know the warming is on the decadal scale, but it would be nice to wear their smug grins away.
If there is a cyclical nature to perceived climate [as well as longer term trends that may be a result of many factors... including erroneous and inconsistent data collection], then the concern about cooling extending to 2020 may be realistic.
The likelihood would be a cyclical warming sometime in the decade of the 20s. By then, better measures of temperature and better understanding of climate drivers will likely be available. What is most probable is a de-politicizing of climate study.
It takes the revelation of corruption to convince the easily led that nothing is ever as simple as it first seems.
Meanwhile, those who have pinned their beliefs about climate Armageddon on the manipulated data of those with political and financial objectives now have to deal with the results of an inconvenient lie... the crisis of global warming belief.
The next issue is not scientific, but political. The scientific debate can be resolved with real data; the political debate is purely rhetoric and emotion... much more difficult to resolve.
Too many politicians have staked a large part of their reputation on "saving" us from the imminent danger of climate disaster with non-scientific understanding of the role of CO2 in the climate... simplistic thinking. Walking away from their position means they are subject to the criticism of being "dupes." That is a career-ender for a politician. It is far easier for politicians to ignore facts and press ahead with positions. Look for President Obama to do just that in Copenhagen.
Stupidity has its own rewards.