Global Warming Now Ending - Global Cooling Next?
SEARCH BLOG: CLIMATE
“There were views that anthropogenic interference, like emissions of greenhouse gases by all heat electric power stations and all industrial influence in general, has resulted in irreversible changes in the Earth’s climate. Those views were based on excessively rapid warming in the 20th century which was thought to continue indefinitely. However, the events of the last three years, when Venetian canals froze and Spanish vineyards were destroyed by frost, and the fact that now Moscow and a considerable part of Europe are having a particularly long winter, prove that temporary cooling has begun. The same is happening to the Antarctic ice. The smallest ice volume and area in the Antarctic were observed in 2007 and 2008. In 2009, 2010, 2011 and early 2012, the volume of ice grew.”
Thus, the academician says, the theory of continuous warming is not getting practical proof. In this century, the volume of the Arctic ice will grow and contract by turns. On the other hand, no one can say when the planet is to expect a new Glacier Period, similar to the one contemporary Europe saw 20,000 years ago, Nikolay Dobretsov continues.Well, of course they would think so. While we in the U.S. were enjoying a mild, low-cost heating winter, the Russians and a very large part of Europe and Asia were suffering through yet another miserably cold winter.
Still, the idea that "temporary cooling" has begun makes about as much sense as "global warming has paused temporarily." Either the earth is cooling or it is not; either the earth is warming or it is not. If one follows the other, then you are seeing normal variability in climate.
Earth's climate continues to confound scientists. Following a 30-year trend of warming, global temperatures have flatlined since 2001 despite rising greenhouse gas concentrations, and a heat surplus that should have cranked up the planetary thermostat. [source]In a desperate attempt to explain why, the Global Warming Press has pointed fingers at George W. Bush... no, that is it has pointed fingers at China.
Sulfur particles in the air deflect the sun's rays and can temporarily cool things down a bit. That can happen even as coal-burning produces the carbon dioxide that contributes to global warming.It's always convenient to have someone to blame when those inconvenient facts get in the way of your theory. No matter what happens, the theory is always right and reality has an explanation. The theory itself cannot be falsified.
In its basic form, falsifiability is the belief that for any hypothesis to have credence, it must be inherently disprovable before it can become accepted as a scientific hypothesis or theory.
For example, if a scientist asks, “Does God exist?” then this can never be science because it is a theory that cannot be disproved.
The idea is that no theory is completely correct, but if not falsified, it can be accepted as truth. [source]That is why you will hear so many warming alarmists use the phrase "consistent with" global warming despite addressing opposite or conflicting real occurrences. "Consistent with" higher temperatures, lower temperatures, more snow, less snow, drought, floods, more hurricanes, less hurricanes.
Why? Because it is a belief, not a falsifiable scientific theory.
Also see:
Multi-Decadal Climate Model Testing Requirements – A Summary - In this post, I summarize two necessary requirements for multi-decadal global climate models to be met before multi-decadal projections for the coming deca...
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